Inside Political Risk

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Two Lanterns Guide to Political Risk in 2024
A not-top ten list for what's happening this year
 • 
Chris Oates

June 2023

We're moving into the Halls of Power
Consolidating my newsletters into one easy place
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Chris Oates

November 2022

Lessons from more than two years as a remote analyst
Pandemic practices to keep post-booster
 • 
Chris Oates
Five quick analytical takeaways from the midterms
What to make of what happened (for the world of forecasting)
 • 
Chris Oates
Why are Elon Musk and a venture capitalist talking so much about Ukraine?
Why being overly successful can be an obstacle to analysis
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Chris Oates

April 2022

Political risk for startups
It's not just for multinational corporations
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Chris Oates

March 2022

My best Good Judgement score of the year was somewhat accidental
Lucking out with uncertainty
 • 
Chris Oates
What would a post-legitimate Supreme Court look like?
Scenarios for Constitutional confusion
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Chris Oates
The base case doesn't exist in Ukraine
Why predicting the outcome of the Russian invasion is so hard
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Chris Oates
Why didn’t we see the Russian invasion coming?
Some thoughts on the analytical prelude to war
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Chris Oates

February 2022

Is political risk an industry, a profession, or a skill?
The logic behind this newsletter
 • 
Chris Oates
Addressing diversity in the political risk field
And what to do about it
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Kerry Boyd Anderson
© 2024 Chris Oates
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