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Two Lanterns Guide to Political Risk in 2024
A not-top ten list for what's happening this year
Jan 10
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Chris Oates
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Two Lanterns Guide to Political Risk in 2024
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June 2023
We're moving into the Halls of Power
Consolidating my newsletters into one easy place
Jun 22, 2023
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Chris Oates
1
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We're moving into the Halls of Power
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November 2022
Lessons from more than two years as a remote analyst
Pandemic practices to keep post-booster
Nov 18, 2022
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Chris Oates
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Lessons from more than two years as a remote analyst
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Five quick analytical takeaways from the midterms
What to make of what happened (for the world of forecasting)
Nov 10, 2022
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Chris Oates
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Five quick analytical takeaways from the midterms
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Why are Elon Musk and a venture capitalist talking so much about Ukraine?
Why being overly successful can be an obstacle to analysis
Nov 4, 2022
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Chris Oates
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Why are Elon Musk and a venture capitalist talking so much about Ukraine?
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April 2022
Political risk for startups
It's not just for multinational corporations
Apr 12, 2022
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Chris Oates
3
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Political risk for startups
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March 2022
My best Good Judgement score of the year was somewhat accidental
Lucking out with uncertainty
Mar 29, 2022
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Chris Oates
1
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My best Good Judgement score of the year was somewhat accidental
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What would a post-legitimate Supreme Court look like?
Scenarios for Constitutional confusion
Mar 22, 2022
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Chris Oates
1
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What would a post-legitimate Supreme Court look like?
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The base case doesn't exist in Ukraine
Why predicting the outcome of the Russian invasion is so hard
Mar 8, 2022
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Chris Oates
2
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The base case doesn't exist in Ukraine
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Why didn’t we see the Russian invasion coming?
Some thoughts on the analytical prelude to war
Mar 1, 2022
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Chris Oates
1
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Why didn’t we see the Russian invasion coming?
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February 2022
Is political risk an industry, a profession, or a skill?
The logic behind this newsletter
Feb 15, 2022
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Chris Oates
2
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Is political risk an industry, a profession, or a skill?
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Addressing diversity in the political risk field
And what to do about it
Feb 8, 2022
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Kerry Boyd Anderson
1
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Addressing diversity in the political risk field
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